Moneyball Labs

KBO 2026

Standings

The table on the left is what happened. The two columns on the right are what the run differential says should have happened, and the gap between them.

#TeamGWLTPCTGBHomeRoadLast 10RSRADIFFPYTHLuck
1Samsung Lions12373473.60836–2337–2473708547+1617545−1.9
2KT Wiz12071463.6070.537–2134–2564653558+956750+3.6
3LG Twins12468551.5536.538–2730–2855629642−136063+7.7
4KIA Tigers12266542.550736–2330–3164662582+806852−1.5
5Doosan Bears12562594.51211.533–2529–3437576530+466556−3.2
6NC Dinos11856602.4831529–3227–2882602616−145759−0.7
7Hanwha Eagles12254653.45418.525–3329–3255727694+336257−8.3
8Lotte Giants12052662.4412023–3529–3128568624−565464−1.6
9SSG Landers12653685.43820.526–3127–3764623721−985269+1.3
10Kiwoom Heroes12845803.36030.527–4018–4037493727−2344085+4.8

Pythagorean record uses Pythagenpat, where the exponent moves with the run environment rather than sitting at a fixed 2. A club running four or five wins ahead of it is not necessarily lucky, but it is being paid for sequencing — hits arriving in the same inning — which does not carry into next month.

Two axes

Offence against run prevention

Where each club actually sits. Team wOBA measures what the lineup produces per plate appearance; team FIP measures what the staff allows independent of the defence behind it.

hits and preventsneitherSamsungKTLGKIADoosanNCHanwhaLotteSSGKiwoomTeam wOBA →← Team FIP (lower is better)
League average wOBA .347 · league ERA 4.66

Season series

Head to head

Read across a row for how that club has fared against each opponent. Green favours the row, red the column.

SamsungKTLGKIADoosanHanwhaNCLotteSSGKiwoomTotal
Samsung·948669658311476861047347
KT49·105668411310455771037146
LG68510·74104687685941066855
KIA966647·789621094931146654
Doosan564841087·78839588946259
NC411410671023893·9636875660
Hanwha38311866987·3910395475465
Lotte675558495931069·771125266
SSG6877493988596377·785368
Kiwoom41031061041149747821187·4580

Games above .500

The pennant race

  1. 01Samsung Lions
    +13
  2. 02KT Wiz
    +12.5
  3. 03LG Twins
    +6.5
  4. 04KIA Tigers
    +6
  5. 05Doosan Bears
    +1.5
  6. 06NC Dinos
    −2
  7. 07Hanwha Eagles
    −5.5
  8. 08Lotte Giants
    −7
  9. 09SSG Landers
    −7.5
  10. 10Kiwoom Heroes
    −17.5

Scoring

Runs per game, both ways

TeamR/GRA/GAVGOBPSLGwOBAHRSOERAFIPWHIPQSSV
Samsung Lions5.904.56.278.368.415.3621128644.114.481.365236
KT Wiz5.584.77.279.362.398.353919194.344.281.415327
LG Twins5.115.22.266.353.399.3481129014.964.661.494045
KIA Tigers5.524.85.272.348.441.3611559584.404.771.414421
Doosan Bears4.764.38.265.338.389.337968783.674.051.325928
NC Dinos5.195.31.272.353.402.3501108604.665.021.464122
Hanwha Eagles6.115.83.278.357.438.3651559625.114.881.563515
Lotte Giants4.815.29.268.331.394.334958834.774.481.505223
SSG Landers5.155.96.260.337.404.3421301,0185.325.201.542921
Kiwoom Heroes3.945.82.243.322.353.317911,1135.294.811.563227
League5.085.08.268.347.403.3471,1479,3564.664.66

League FIP equals league ERA by construction — the FIP constant this season is 3.6, solved so the two line up. A club's FIP below its ERA means the defence or the sequencing, not the arms, has been the problem.