Standings

KBO 2026

The table on the left is what happened. The two columns on the right are what the run differential says should have happened, and the gap between them.

#	Team	G	W	L	T	PCT	GB	Home	Road	Last 10	RS	RA	DIFF	PYTH	Luck
1	KT Wiz	144	90	49	5	.647	—	45–24	45–25	9–0–1	825	649	+176	86–53	+4.4
2	Samsung Lions	144	83	58	3	.589	8	43–29	40–29	4–6	806	669	+137	83–58	−0.2
3	KIA Tigers	144	79	63	2	.556	12.5	42–29	37–34	7–3	769	664	+105	81–61	−2.1
4	LG Twins	144	78	65	1	.545	14	42–31	36–34	3–7	723	726	−3	71–72	+6.8
5	Doosan Bears	144	73	66	5	.525	17	40–28	33–38	6–4	688	630	+58	75–64	−2.3
6	SSG Landers	144	65	74	5	.468	25	34–33	31–41	7–3	706	797	−91	61–78	+3.8
7	Lotte Giants	144	64	77	3	.454	27	29–42	35–35	4–5–1	679	742	−63	64–77	−0.4
8	NC Dinos	144	64	78	2	.451	27.5	32–41	32–37	2–8	719	772	−53	66–76	−2.0
9	Hanwha Eagles	144	57	83	4	.407	33.5	27–41	30–42	3–7	821	835	−14	69–71	−11.8
10	Kiwoom Heroes	144	50	90	4	.357	40.5	28–43	22–47	5–5	565	817	−252	46–94	+3.9

Pythagorean record uses Pythagenpat, where the exponent moves with the run environment rather than sitting at a fixed 2. A club running four or five wins ahead of it is not necessarily lucky, but it is being paid for sequencing — hits arriving in the same inning — which does not carry into next month.

20,000 seasons simulated

The run-in: postseason odds

The 0 games left on the schedule, played out 20,000 times, then the five-club bracket on top: wild card, semi-playoff, playoff, Korean Series. The numbered columns are the chance of finishing in each place.

Club	W–L–T	Talent	Proj.	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	1st	Top 3	Postseason	Reach KS	Win KS
KT Wiz	90–49–5	.577	90.0–49.0	100										✓	✓	✓	✓	57%
Samsung Lions	83–58–3	.560	83.0–58.0		100									—	✓	✓	56%	26%
KIA Tigers	79–63–2	.547	79.0–63.0			100								—	✓	✓	27%	12%
LG Twins	78–65–1	.499	78.0–65.0				100							—	—	✓	11%	3.6%
Doosan Bears	73–66–5	.528	73.0–66.0					100						—	—	✓	5.3%	2.1%
SSG Landers	65–74–5	.460	65.0–74.0						100					—	—	—	—	—
Lotte Giants	64–77–3	.471	64.0–77.0							100				—	—	—	—	—
NC Dinos	64–78–2	.477	64.0–78.0								100			—	—	—	—	—
Hanwha Eagles	57–83–4	.494	57.0–83.0									100		—	—	—	—	—
Kiwoom Heroes	50–90–4	.386	50.0–90.0										100	—	—	—	—	—

Each game is a weighted coin: both clubs' true-talent estimates (Pythagenpat, pulled toward .500 by seventy games) combined by log5, plus this season's home edge of 1.5 points, with ties at the league's own rate of 2.4%. A dash means the outcome never came up in any simulated season, not that it is mathematically impossible. It knows nothing about rotations, injuries or who is resting starters for October.

Two axes

Offence against run prevention

Where each club actually sits. Team wOBA measures what the lineup produces per plate appearance; team FIP measures what the staff allows independent of the defence behind it.

League average wOBA .346 · league ERA 4.66

Season series

Head to head

Read across a row for how that club has fared against each opponent. Green favours the row, red the column.

	Samsung	KT	LG	KIA	Doosan	Hanwha	NC	Lotte	SSG	Kiwoom	Total
KT	7–9	·	10–6	10–6	11–4	12–3	11–5	10–5	8–7	11–4	90–49
Samsung	·	9–7	8–8	7–9	7–8	12–3	12–4	8–8	9–7	11–4	83–58
KIA	9–7	6–10	9–7	·	7–9	10–6	5–11	10–5	11–4	12–4	79–63
LG	8–8	6–10	·	7–9	11–4	8–8	10–6	9–7	9–7	10–6	78–65
Doosan	8–7	4–11	4–11	9–7	·	7–8	12–4	10–6	8–8	11–4	73–66
SSG	7–9	7–8	7–9	4–11	8–8	6–10	10–4	8–7	·	8–8	65–74
Lotte	8–8	5–10	7–9	5–10	6–10	5–11	7–9	·	7–8	14–2	64–77
NC	4–12	5–11	6–10	11–5	4–12	13–3	·	9–7	4–10	8–8	64–78
Hanwha	3–12	3–12	8–8	6–10	8–7	·	3–13	11–5	10–6	5–10	57–83
Kiwoom	4–11	4–11	6–10	4–12	4–11	10–5	8–8	2–14	8–8	·	50–90

Games above .500

The pennant race

01KT Wiz
+20.5
90–49–5
— GB
W10
02Samsung Lions
+12.5
83–58–3
8 GB
L4
03KIA Tigers
+8
79–63–2
12.5 GB
W1
04LG Twins
+6.5
78–65–1
14 GB
L1
05Doosan Bears
+3.5
73–66–5
17 GB
L2
06SSG Landers
−4.5
65–74–5
25 GB
L1
07Lotte Giants
−6.5
64–77–3
27 GB
W2
08NC Dinos
−7
64–78–2
27.5 GB
W1
09Hanwha Eagles
−13
57–83–4
33.5 GB
L2
10Kiwoom Heroes
−20
50–90–4
40.5 GB
W1

Scoring

Runs per game, both ways

Team	R/G	RA/G	AVG	OBP	SLG	wOBA	HR	SO	ERA	FIP	WHIP	QS	SV
KT Wiz	5.94	4.67	.286	.367	.415	.362	121	1,094	4.14	4.21	1.38	67	33
Samsung Lions	5.72	4.74	.273	.362	.414	.358	140	1,017	4.31	4.53	1.39	59	42
KIA Tigers	5.42	4.68	.271	.347	.435	.357	174	1,136	4.27	4.74	1.39	50	29
LG Twins	5.06	5.08	.264	.351	.401	.348	136	1,072	4.81	4.55	1.46	42	50
Doosan Bears	4.95	4.53	.267	.339	.392	.338	114	1,003	3.86	4.12	1.35	63	34
SSG Landers	5.08	5.73	.259	.337	.399	.339	143	1,164	5.16	5.14	1.52	38	29
Lotte Giants	4.82	5.26	.272	.334	.398	.336	113	1,063	4.72	4.43	1.48	59	27
NC Dinos	5.06	5.44	.270	.349	.401	.347	134	1,086	4.79	5.08	1.50	50	28
Hanwha Eagles	5.86	5.96	.273	.350	.426	.357	176	1,148	5.26	5.01	1.56	37	16
Kiwoom Heroes	4.04	5.84	.244	.323	.361	.319	115	1,271	5.30	4.80	1.56	38	29
League	5.07	5.07	.268	.346	.404	.346	1,366	11,054	4.66	4.66	—	—	—

League FIP equals league ERA by construction — the FIP constant this season is 3.6, solved so the two line up. A club's FIP below its ERA means the defence or the sequencing, not the arms, has been the problem.