KBO 2026 · 144 games in · Updated Oct 13, 2026
KT by 8.
144 games in. LG are 6.8 wins ahead of what their run differential says they should be; Hanwha are 11.8 behind it. The fifth and final October place is separated by 8 games.
Moneyball Labs computes every advanced metric on this site from the KBO's own record book — wOBA, wRC+, FIP, WAR, run expectancy. Nothing here is copied from another leaderboard, and every assumption is written down.
Games above .500
The pennant race
Ten clubs, one table. The top five in October play into the Korean Series.
- 01KT Wiz+20.5
90–49–5
— GB
W10 - 02Samsung Lions+12.5
83–58–3
8 GB
L4 - 03KIA Tigers+8
79–63–2
12.5 GB
W1 - 04LG Twins+6.5
78–65–1
14 GB
L1 - 05Doosan Bears+3.5
73–66–5
17 GB
L2 - 06SSG Landers−4.5
65–74–5
25 GB
L1 - 07Lotte Giants−6.5
64–77–3
27 GB
W2 - 08NC Dinos−7
64–78–2
27.5 GB
W1 - 09Hanwha Eagles−13
57–83–4
33.5 GB
L2 - 10Kiwoom Heroes−20
50–90–4
40.5 GB
W1
0 games left
The run-in
The rest of the schedule and the postseason bracket, played out 20,000 times.
| Club | W–L–T | Proj. | 1st | Postseason | Reach KS | Win KS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KT Wiz | 90–49–5 | 90.0–49.0 | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | 57% |
| Samsung Lions | 83–58–3 | 83.0–58.0 | — | ✓ | 56% | 26% |
| KIA Tigers | 79–63–2 | 79.0–63.0 | — | ✓ | 27% | 12% |
| LG Twins | 78–65–1 | 78.0–65.0 | — | ✓ | 11% | 3.6% |
| Doosan Bears | 73–66–5 | 73.0–66.0 | — | ✓ | 5.3% | 2.1% |
| SSG Landers | 65–74–5 | 65.0–74.0 | — | — | — | — |
| Lotte Giants | 64–77–3 | 64.0–77.0 | — | — | — | — |
| NC Dinos | 64–78–2 | 64.0–78.0 | — | — | — | — |
| Hanwha Eagles | 57–83–4 | 57.0–83.0 | — | — | — | — |
| Kiwoom Heroes | 50–90–4 | 50.0–90.0 | — | — | — | — |
Around the game
Asian Games gold, and the news
Aichi-Nagoya · Sept 27
Korea 3, Japan 1
A fifth straight Asian Games gold, won by twenty-four KBO players. Results, the roster and how their clubs fared without them.
KBO · 10/01
A year after the Korean Series, Hanwha is ninth and its leadership under scrutiny
KBO · 09/30
The postseason field is set: Doosan takes the last spot on a walk-off
KBO · 09/30
Regular season to end 12 October, with the wild card round from about the 14th
MLB · 09/30
MLB postseason under way: White Sox sweep Houston, Phillies force a Game 3
Run environment
League pulse
Every rate stat on this platform is measured against these league totals. They are what a league-average season looks like right now.
Runs per team, per game
5.07
10.14 combined
League OPS
.751
OBP .346 · SLG .404
League ERA
4.66
FIP c 3.55
Strikeout rate
19.5%
11,054 K
Walk rate
9.4%
5,319 BB
League BABIP
.317
1,366 HR
wOBA is scaled so that league wOBA equals league OBP (.346); the scale factor this season is 1.04. One win costs about 10.61 runs in this environment.
Profiles
Faces of the season
Sixteen players the platform profiles in full: a portrait, a short biography, and a season line computed here rather than copied.
The franchiseKIAKim Do-yeong김도영 · 3BwOBA.463wRC+187WAR8.59
The import who stayedLGAustin Dean오스틴 · 1BwOBA.468wRC+191WAR7.90
The monster, homeHanwhaRyu Hyun-jin류현진 · SPFIP3.39K%20.5%WAR3.60
Home run kingSSGChoi Jeong최정 · 3BwOBA.441wRC+171WAR3.74
The captainSamsungKoo Ja-wook구자욱 · LFwOBA.464wRC+188WAR6.38
Two rings, two clubsDoosanYang Eui-ji양의지 · CwOBA.364wRC+113WAR3.70
The right fielderKIANa Sung-bum나성범 · RFwOBA.412wRC+149WAR4.63
Twenty-nine at nineteenHanwhaKang Baek-ho강백호 · 1BwOBA.393wRC+135WAR3.08WAR
Value leaders — hitters
- 01Kim Do-yeongKIA8.59
- 02Austin DeanLG7.90
- 03Koo Ja-wookSamsung6.38
- 04
HilliardKT6.13 - 05
Choi Won-joonKT6.04 - 06
Park Sung-hanSSG5.65 - 07
Victor ReyesLotte5.54 - 08Na Sung-bumKIA4.63
WAR
Value leaders — pitchers
- 01
Kwak BinDoosan5.27 - 02
Ko Young-pyoKT4.94 - 03
James NaileKIA4.35 - 04
Adam OllerKIA4.12 - 05
Won Tae-inSamsung3.95 - 06
Jeremy BeasleyLotte3.41 - 07
Raul AlcantaraKiwoom3.39 - 08
Choi Min-seokDoosan3.36
The Archive
Seven categories, one summer
In 2010 Lee Dae-ho led the KBO in average, home runs, RBIs, runs, hits, on-base and slugging — and homered in nine straight games, which nobody in the history of the sport had done. Recomputed against the league he actually played in, how big was it?
9 min read · 2010
Game Theory & Economics Lab
When is a bunt worth it?
A run expectancy matrix scaled to this season's KBO scoring, a bunt and steal calculator built on it, a Nash equilibrium solver for pitch selection, and a Markov simulator that plays any two clubs ten thousand times.
Earned vs actual
Run differential
Run differential is the part of a record that repeats. The number on the right is how many wins each club is running ahead of, or behind, what its scoring says it deserves.